Saturday, April 21, 2007

Absurd Projections

The Angels have played 16 games which is roughly 10% of their 162 game schedule. Taking the current statistics of the players and multiplying it by 10 gives me an absurd prediction of their season totals. I realize that this is as unscientific as it gets, but I like doing it just to see how ridiculous the numbers are.

Statistical Projections

Alex Rodriguez - He's not an Angel, but he is off to an incredible start and we all know how he'll finish. A-Rod is on pace for 130 home runs and 324 rbi - well ahead of the records of 73 (Barry Bonds) and 191 (Hack Wilson).

Gary Matthews Jr. - He hit 19 home runs last year and 17 the year before that. But add in a Spring Training HGH scandal and he's now on pace for 0 home runs.

Orlando Cabrera - Cabrera's predicted numbers are all reasonable - 10 home runs, 40 rbi, 70 runs scored, 60 walks. 70 strike outs and 0 errors. Whoa, after committing 16 errors last year, it's good to see OC's glove is working.

Vladimir Guerrero - 40hr, 130rbi - These numbers don't seem too far off. Vlad is the only Angel player who is on pace to surpass 100 rbi.

Garret Anderson - The surprising team leader in runs scored (Should he be batting lead off?) with a projected 100. His projected rbi total of 30 equals A-Rod's current output.

Shea Hillenbrand - What can I say about this guy? He is projected to make $6 million this season. His batting average is .179, his obp is .179, his slugging percentage is .179. This guy sucks. He's the 2007 version of the 2006 Edgardo Alfonzo or the 2005 Steve Finley.

As bad as the hitters have been, the pitching staff has been really good.

John Lackey and Joe Saunders are both on pace for 20 win seasons, although Saunders will get most of those wins at Salt Lake City.

Lackey is on pace for 210 strike outs which would be a career best for him.

Francisco Rodriguez will record 50 saves which isn't too far fetched if they continue to squander 8-0 8th inning leads.

Ervin Santana will go 10-0 at home with a 2.57 era and 0-20 on the road with a 11.88 era.

And last, but not least, Kelvim Escobar is projected to go on the DL 10 times this season.

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